(Generative) AI in Financial Economics

Hongwei Mo & Shumiao Ouyang

Saïd Business School, University of Oxford

Transforming Financial Economics Through AI

A comprehensive review of the burgeoning literature on the intersection of artificial intelligence and finance

$7T Projected Global GDP Impact
7% Global GDP Growth
131 Pages of Research
AI Technology

Abstract

This review article synthesizes the burgeoning literature on the intersection of (generative) artificial intelligence (AI) and finance. We organize our review around six key areas:

1

The emergent role of generative AI, especially large language models (LLMs), as analytic tools, external shocks to the economy, and autonomous economic agents

2

Corporate finance, focusing on how firms respond to and benefit from AI

3

Asset pricing, examining how AI brings novel methodologies for return predictability, stochastic discount factor estimation, and investment

4

Household finance, investigating how AI promotes financial inclusion and improves financial services

5

Labor economics, analyzing AI's impact on labor market dynamics

6

The risks and challenges associated with AI in financial markets

We conclude by identifying unanswered questions and discussing promising avenues for future research.

Research Areas

Generative AI

Exploring the role of LLMs as analytic tools, economic shocks, and autonomous agents in financial markets.

  • Large Language Models (LLMs)
  • Economic impact analysis
  • Autonomous economic agents

Corporate Finance

How firms respond to and benefit from AI technologies in their financial operations and decision-making.

  • Firm performance enhancement
  • Organizational structure changes
  • Corporate decision-making

Asset Pricing

Novel AI methodologies for return predictability, stochastic discount factor estimation, and investment management.

  • Return predictability models
  • Machine learning applications
  • Investment strategies

Household Finance

AI's role in promoting financial inclusion and improving financial services for consumers.

  • Financial inclusion initiatives
  • Consumer financial services
  • Personal finance management

Labor Economics

Analyzing AI's impact on labor market dynamics, employment, and workforce transformation.

  • Labor market disruption
  • Skill requirements evolution
  • Productivity impacts

Risks & Challenges

Emerging risks, methodological limitations, and policy implications of AI in financial markets.

  • Systemic risks
  • Regulatory challenges
  • Ethical considerations

Key Insights

Transformative Economic Impact

AI could raise global GDP by 7%, amounting to approximately $7 trillion, and increase US productivity growth by 1.5 percentage points annually over the next decade according to Goldman Sachs projections.

Research Growth

Both the number of AI-related papers and top journal publications in financial economics increased sixfold from 2018 to 2024, demonstrating the field's rapid expansion.

Future Outlook

Leading researchers forecast that transformative AI capable of performing most cognitive tasks at or above human level could emerge within the next decade.

Financial Charts

Authors

Hongwei Mo

Saïd Business School, University of Oxford

Hongwei.Mo@sbs.ox.ac.uk

Shumiao Ouyang

Saïd Business School, University of Oxford

Shumiao.Ouyang@sbs.ox.ac.uk

Acknowledgments

We are grateful to Alexander Dyck, Jiayin Hu, Manish Jha, Anton Korinek, Leonardo Gambacorta, Joel Shapiro, and Yucheng Yang for their valuable comments and suggestions. We also thank Andreas Charisiadis, ChatGPT and Claude for helpful discussions and research assistance.

Access the Full Research

Download the complete 131-page review paper on AI in Financial Economics